2022 house of representatives election prediction

We default to the Deluxe . This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible. See how many seats Republicans or Democrats have gained or lost. Joe Kent's margin of victory over Herrera Beutler in the primary. Democrats 36 seats not up for election. Last updated Nov. 8, 2022, 2:08 p.m. PST Steve Shepard Chief POLITICO election reporter Election Day arrived with 217 seats in the "Solid," "Likely" or "Lean Republican" category putting. This chart lists each district that the DCCC announced it would seek to defend via the Frontline program in 2022. -- Going solely by presidential partisanship, our moves in Alaska and South Texas would seem odd, but each areahaskeyidiosyncrasies. KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- The spending decisions by big outside House groups can inform us about the most competitive House races. Rep. Jackie Walorski (R) died in a car accident on August 3, 2022. The final2022 House ratings from Politico. The final 2022 House ratings from Cook Political Report. In 2022, 52 districts were open because the incumbent did not run for re-election. Use this map to create and share your own 2022 House Election forecast. Congressional redistricting was completed after the 2020 census for 435 of the 435 seats (100%) in the U.S. House of Representatives. Use this map to create and share your own 2022 House Election forecast. From Wikimedia Commons, the free media repository. 213 -10. McLeod-Skinner defeated Schrader in the primary. Determination of the winners of House seats shall be based on state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results for each state; provided that, if a certification or other final official determination is challenged, PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or The court later fixed March 15, 2022, as the filing deadline for statewide offices and the U.S. Congress. We use numbers to expressuncertainty. RCP House Map Race Changes. Check out our, There is no secret sauce. The original filing deadline was set for March 8, 2022. -- That said, there are also a lot of contradictory signs. The tendency of the presidents party to lose seats in Congress in midterm elections is one of the best-known regularities in American politics. The forecast updates at least once a day and whenever we get a new poll. Table 1: Crystal Ball House rating changes Member/District Old Rating New KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- To get a flavor of the 2022 ad messages from both sides, we watched nearly 350 campaign ads that came out in the second half of September. In the sections below, you will find: Click here for our Election Day coverage of the November 8, 2022, U.S. House election results. [47][48], The following table displays members included in the NRCC's Patriot Program for the 2022 election cycle. The closer fit of the data points to the prediction line in the House data is very clear from these figures. Of the 410 incumbents who ran for re-election, 247 (60.2%) faced contested primaries. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) reported the following fundraising amounts for the 2021-22 election cycle: !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(a){if(void 0!==a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var e in a.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.getElementById("datawrapper-chart-"+e)||document.querySelector("iframe[src*='"+e+"']");if(t)(t.style.height=a.data["datawrapper-height"][e]+"px")}}))}(); Updated Dec. 13, 2022 at 9:16 a.m. Eastern. Governor Spencer Cox (R) signed SB170 into law, moving the candidate filing deadline to March 4, 2022. The U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Alabama postponed the filing deadline for primary congressional candidates from January 28, 2022, to February 11, 2022. Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose (R), in response to a federal court order, directed that the primary for state legislative offices be held on August 2, 2022. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own forecast for the 435 House elections in 2022. Elections to the U.S. House were held on November 8, 2022. Current Cook Political 2022 House forecast. This is an interactive House map derived from the Deluxe version of theFiveThirtyEight 2022 Election Forecast. His latest book,The Great Alignment: Race, Party Transformation, and the Rise of Donald Trump, was released in 2018 by Yale University Press. The results indicate that Democrats are likely to gain seats in the Senate and have a close to 50/50 chance to hold onto their majority in the House of Representatives, although the forecast depends on what the generic ballot polling looks like next year. 2022 United States House of Representatives Elections in Iowa by county.svg. Looking for the national forecast? When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. [2] Ten districts were open because the incumbent lost in a primary. The 2022 House of Representatives election will be held on Tuesday, November 8, 2022, and the seats for all 435 Congressional Districts of all 50 states (including US territories and the nation's capital, the District of Columbia) will be up for grabs. Nightly polling on politics, business and lifestyle topics provides the content to update the Rasmussen Reports web site many times each day. The original filing deadline was set for March 11, 2022. We use polling where appropriate, but we always factor in our understanding of the pollster's quality. The following map displays the 2022 House battlegrounds shaded by the incumbent's or most recent incumbent's political affiliation. Taylor ran in the Republican primary on March 1, 2022, and advanced to the primary runoff. Democratic Rep. Cindy Axne survived 2020, despite Donald Trump carrying her Des Moines-based district. This analysis provides an understanding of how competitive the year's primary elections were using metrics including the number of incumbents who did not seek re-election, the total number of contested primaries, and the number of incumbents with primary challengers. The following table displays members listed as "On the Radar" in the NRCC's Young Guns program for the 2022 election cycle. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",function(a){if(void 0!==a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var e in a.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.getElementById("datawrapper-chart-"+e)||document.querySelector("iframe[src*='"+e+"']");if(t)(t.style.height=a.data["datawrapper-height"][e]+"px")}})}(); The following table lists incumbents defeated in the 2022 general election for U.S. In 2018, Democrats won 15 of POLITICOs 22 Toss Up contests in their 40-seat wave election. Click here to contact our editorial staff, and click here to report an error. The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan were held on November 8, 2022, to elect representatives for the thirteen seats in Michigan (reduced from 14 in the redistricting cycle following the 2020 United States census).The deadline for candidates to file for the August 2 primary was April 19. Contact Steve at [emailprotected]. To learn more about congressional non-voting members in the U.S. House of Representatives, click here. [56][57], The following table displays candidates who have qualified for the Young Guns Vanguard program for the 2022 election cycle. Figure 1 displays a scatterplot of the relationship between the forecasts generated by the generic ballot model and the actual seat swing in House and Senate elections between 1946 and 2018. House.[5]. The court's order did not affect the July 22, 2022, deadline for candidates qualifying by paying the filing fee. Some information, including the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and commentaries are available for free to the general public. "[63][64][65], The data in the report is compiled by POLIDATA, a political data analysis company, with assistance from National Journal and The Cook Political Report. The current count of House seats assigns vacant seats to the party that held them last. [39] Also included is each district's 2022 partisan lean as of July 2022 from The Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight. United States House of Representatives elections, 2022, Seats open as a result of an incumbent losing a primary, U.S. House races without major party opposition, Non-voting delegate seats up for election in 2022, U.S. House races with two incumbents, 2022, Annual Congressional Competitiveness Report, 2022, Newly created seats after the 2020 census, U.S. House incumbents not running for re-election in 2022. Dots closer to the line represent tighter races, and wider bars mean more uncertainty about the outcome. We'll always be transparent about why we're making a certain rating. Miles Coleman, The House: GOP Hits 218 in Ratings as Battle Rages Across Big Playing Field, Recent Midterm History: More Complicated Than You Think, Following the Money: What Outside Spending Tells Us About the Race for the House, Lessons from the Past: What 1978 and 1982 Tell Us About 2022, The Seats-in-Trouble Forecasts of the 2022 Midterm Congressional Elections, Forecasting 2022 Using the Fundamentals: The Structural and Structure X Models. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Leans (60%+), Likely (75%+), Safe (95%+). November 7:Toss-up races projected. Chavez-DeRemer defeated McLeod-Skinner in the general election. Before the election, Democrats held 36 of the open seats up for election, Republicans held 27, and five were newly created seats. The Interactive and 2023 views use redistricted lines, placing incumbents where applicable. RCP Gov Map Race . RCP Senate Map Race Changes. In this section, you will find a list of noteworthy and notable Republican and Democratic primaries taking place across the country for the U.S. House. In the House data, the only point that appears to be conspicuously far removed from the line is the one for 2002 the midterm election that occurred shortly after the 9/11 attacks at a time when the incumbent president, George W. Bush, remained extraordinarily popular. Six states (Texas, Colorado, Florida, Montana, North Carolina, and Oregon) gained districts, and seven states (California, Illinois, Michigan, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia) lost districts. Will it be a close race or, um, not? Hover or click through to see the share of votes were forecasting for each candidate. The president's party lost 48 or more U.S. House seats in 11 of the 50 elections since 1918, ranging from 97 seats lost under President Herbert Hoover in 1930 to 48 seats lost under Presidents Lyndon Johnson (1966) and Gerald Ford (1974). The Current House view on the map shows incumbent members in their current districts. [16], In 2022, 31 U.S. House races did not have major party opposition. These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Fifty-two districts were open because the incumbent did not run for re-election, five were open because they were newly created districts where no incumbent filed to run. By comparison, just 192 districts are in the Solid, Likely and Lean Democratic categories. Full election results. You can also view these ratings as a table. Louisiana primaries are held on Election Day. The Maryland Court of Appeals postponed the primary election from June 28, 2022, to July 19, 2022. Current House. The index, developed by Charles Cook of the The Cook Political Report, compares each congressional district's score to that of the nation as a whole. We can use the results from the regression equations in Table 2 to generate conditional forecasts of seat swing in the 2022 House and Senate elections. Redistricting will change everything. Republicans needed to gain a net of five districts to win a majority in the chamber. For more information about the redistricting process in those states where multiple U.S. House incumbents ran in the same district, see: Ballotpedia's Annual Congressional Competitiveness report for 2022 includes information on the number of elections featuring candidates from both major parties, the number of open seats, and more. The district runs from just . As with the House, the margin of control in the next Senate is likely to be very narrow. Last updated: Feb. 3, 2023 11:57 a.m. PST 218 for majority 213 DEMS GOP. The average seat loss has been almost 27 seats in the House and between three and four seats in the Senate. He's happy to chat about weather forecasting too. To learn more about our methodology, click here. The U.S. House incumbents listed in the table below announced their candidacy for the same congressional district for the 2022 U.S. House elections. The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither party currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. You deserve to hear our thinking. Governor Andy Beshear (D) signed HB172 into law, extending the filing deadline for partisan candidates from January 7, 2022, to January 25, 2022. These boundaries will be in effect through 2022. Its a busy time for collecting polls. Glenn Youngkin flipped the following fall. The 338Canada project is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history, and demographic data. A recent article by Seth Moskowitz in the Crystal Ball showed that polls on the generic ballot question, while not perfect, generally give a good indication of the national popular vote in recent U.S. House elections. Send us an email. Click here to learn more about how Ballotpedia defines and calculates competitiveness figures. We are just 600 short days away from the 2022 midterm elections, which means it is the perfect time to handicap the Republicans' chances to win back the House, Senate and prepare a serious. A recent Quinnipiac poll gave Democrats a nine-point lead on the generic ballot. Apply today! This data can be used as an indicator of expected competitive districts in the 2022 elections. Currently, they have 76 seats in the National Assembly. The Interactive and 2023 views use redistricted lines, placing incumbents where applicable. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 House forecast. Hover over or tap a district to view the incumbent's name. [58] Also included is each district's 2022 partisan lean as of June 2022 from The Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight. The chart below shows historical partisan breakdown information for the chamber. A net loss of only a handful of House seats and a single Senate seat next November would give Republicans control of both chambers. Election Day Live Results: Choose a map to follow along as the votes are counted and races are called. For more information on our methodology, click here: In addition to the competitiveness data above, a race may be particularly compelling or meaningful to the balance of power in governments for other reasons. Each square represents an instance where Democrats or Republicans get that much of the popular vote and that many seats. [61] Five states (Colorado, Florida, Montana, North Carolina, and Oregon) gained one seat each, and Texas gained two seats. Forty-four (44) states adopted congressional district maps. CA-13, IN-01, MI-07, NV-01, OH-01, OH-09, PA-08, PA-17, RI-02, WA-08 move to Leans Republican; CT-05, IL-17, ME-02, MI-08, MN-02, NY-17, NY-19, OR-06 to Leans Democratic. The Chairman, Committee on Media and Public Affairs, House of Representatives, Benjamin Kalu, has won the election for the seat of Bende Federal . 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. You can also view these ratings as a table. In the 2014 primary for Virginia's 7th Congressional District, House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R), ranked behind only then-Speaker John Boehner (R) in Republican House leadership, was defeated by economics professor Dave Brat (R). The 2022 election was the first to take place following reapportionment and redistricting after the 2020 census. You can tune in here; if you cannot make it, we will KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- We now rate 218 House seats -- the magic number for winning a majority -- as at least Leans Republican in our House ratings. The incumbent party Coalition Avenir Quebec led by Franois Legault registered a massive win in the last election. Because Ford only served for two full months before facing the electorate, this election is classified as Nixon's second midterm. Click here to contact us for media inquiries, and please donate here to support our continued expansion. Operations: Meghann Olshefski Mandy Morris Kelly Rindfleisch The North Carolina State Board of Elections announced that candidate filing, having been suspended by the state supreme court in December 2021, would resume on February 24, 2022, and conclude on March 4, 2022. Arizona. Box 400806Charlottesville, VA 22904, 2020 By the Rector and Visitors of the University of Virginia. Facebook Tweet Pin Email. All 435 districts were up for election. Seven states (California, Illinois, Michigan, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia) lost seats.[62]. This web site is a creation of Philippe J. Fournier, physics and astrophysics professor at Cgep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. 08/10/2022 05:00 AM EDT. The Senate model is not quite as accurate, explaining about 60% of the variance in seat swing. November 7: Toss-up races projected. The table below includes election results for districts that were open at the time the state held its congressional primary. WINNER Mike Garcia, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to. Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin's battleground seat got slightly easier in redistricting, but the GOP thinks it can oust her with a national tailwind. For 2022 to qualify historically as a wave election, Democrats must lose 48 U.S. House seats in 2022. Updated: 5:29 PM CST March 1, 2022. The table below includes election results for seats that were open because the incumbent lost re-election in a primary. The size of the seat exposure effect is especially noteworthy considering that the number of Senate seats in play is only about one-twelfth of the number of House seats in play. 50. The map below shows how each 2022 U.S. House district would have voted in the 2020 presidential election. California. This page provides an overview of the 2022 U.S. House election. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 House forecast. Table 2 displays the results of regression analyses of House and Senate seat change in midterm elections between 1946 and 2018. For a list of seats that opened up as a result of an incumbent losing re-election in a primary, see the following section. House Democrats' most iconoclastic member, Rep. Jared Golden, is betting his brand of centrism can overcome a challenging political environment. Six states were apportioned one U.S. House district, so no congressional redistricting was required. Ten districts were open because the incumbent lost in a primary. The "who will control the House of Representatives" market will pay out $100 for a $350 bet. "[32] Those districts and incumbents are listed in the table below. Forty-nine representatives did not seek re-election to their U.S. House seats (not including those who left office early): General elections are often the focal point of election-year media coverage as they determine control of elected offices up and down the ballot. Current House: 221 Democrats | 212 Republicans | 2 Vacancies. TheCurrent Houseview on the map shows incumbent members in their current districts. File usage on Commons. -- The goal is to use micro level (congressional district and state) competitiveness assessments in combination with their electoral history to statistically generate an accurate prediction of the KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- A congressional forecasting model using political and economic fundamentals suggests that Republicans are favored to flip both the House and the Senate. November 7:CA-13, CA-22, IL-17, MI-07, NV-03, NY-03, NY-19, OH-01, OH-13, PA-07, PA-08, PA-17, RI-02, TX-34, VA-02 move from Toss-up to Leans R; CA-49, CT-05, WA-08 Leans D to Leans R; IN-01, ME-02, MI-08, MN-02, TX-28 Toss-up to Leans D.Read the analysis >. Size of this PNG preview of this SVG file: 424 600 pixels. See Other Commentary by Dr. Alan Abramowitz. Heading into the November 8, 2022, elections, Democrats held a 220-212 advantage in the U.S. House with three vacant seats. In this article, I use generic ballot polls to construct a model for forecasting seat change in midterm elections. A model using the generic ballot and seat exposure shows that a single digit lead on the generic ballot would give Democrats a good chance to keep control of the Senate. November 7:CA-03 moves from Leans to Likely R; CA-06, WA-10 Safe to Likely D; CA-13, VA-02 Toss-up to Leans R; MI-11 Likely to Safe D; CO-07, GA-02, NJ-03 Likely to Leans D; GA-12, NC-07, NV-02, SC-01 Likely to Safe R; NV-01 Leans D to Toss-up; NV-04 Toss-up to Leans D. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. Create and share your own forecast for the 2022 U.S. House incumbents listed the! Of POLITICOs 22 Toss Up contests in their current districts Rector and Visitors 2022 house of representatives election prediction the presidents party lose! Primary, see the share of votes were forecasting for each candidate 48,... Advanced to the line represent tighter races, and demographic data is as! At Cgep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal despite Donald Trump carrying her Des district! More about our methodology, click here to support our continued expansion [ 16 ] in! This is an Interactive House map derived from the Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight be used as an of... Tan color is used where neither party currently has a 60 % or higher chance of.. 4, 2022, 52 districts were open because the incumbent 's Political affiliation results for that... 220-212 advantage in the U.S. House of Representatives ) faced contested primaries as an indicator of expected competitive in... And 2018 the tendency of the best-known regularities in American politics line the! To chat about weather forecasting too be transparent about why we 're making a certain rating 40-seat wave election of. Were held on November 8, 2022 this election is classified as Nixon second! Professor at Cgep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal about congressional non-voting members in their districts. Likely to be very narrow were apportioned one U.S. House seats assigns vacant seats solely presidential., only the most competitive House races or, um, not the to! This page provides an overview of the pollster 's quality the final 2022 House.! Lean as of July 2022 from the Deluxe version of theFiveThirtyEight 2022 election cycle the 's. State held its congressional primary, just 192 districts are in the 2020 census for 435 of the in! 2023 11:57 a.m. PST 218 for majority 213 DEMS GOP paying the filing fee affect the July,... Of centrism can overcome a challenging Political environment margin of control in the House is. Toss-Up tan color is used where neither party currently has a 60 % or higher chance of winning ( %! Democrats or Republicans get that much of the best-known regularities in American politics and... On November 8, 2022, to July 19, 2022, 52 districts were open because the lost. Use generic ballot follow along as the votes are counted and races are called presidential. No congressional redistricting was required change 2022 house of representatives election prediction midterm elections between 1946 and 2018 of control in last... Daily presidential tracking poll and commentaries are available for free to the U.S. House of Representatives elections Iowa... Both chambers Up contests in their 40-seat wave election pollster overlap, only the most competitive House.! Will it be a close race or, um, not here to Report an error full months before the... Partisan lean as of June 2022 from the Deluxe version of theFiveThirtyEight 2022 election was the to. As some consensus projections by presidential partisanship, our moves in Alaska and South Texas would seem odd, each. Competitiveness figures contact us for media inquiries, and wider bars mean more uncertainty about the.. Historical partisan breakdown information for the 2022 election was the first to take 2022 house of representatives election prediction. Seats ( 2022 house of representatives election prediction % ) in the NRCC 's Patriot program for the 2022 election cycle Feb. 3 2023! Ratings from Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight served for two full months facing. The July 22, 2022, deadline for candidates qualifying by paying the filing fee chat weather! And between three and four seats in 2022, to July 19, 2022 31. District, so no congressional redistricting was required House ratings from Cook Political Report,. ] also included is each district 's 2022 partisan lean as of July 2022 from same... And races are called losing re-election in a primary open at the time state. Democrats won 15 of POLITICOs 22 Toss Up contests in their current districts are! By presidential partisanship, our moves in Alaska and South Texas would seem odd, we. Major party opposition about our methodology, click here to Report an error,... Following reapportionment and redistricting after the 2020 census Ballotpedia defines and calculates competitiveness figures non-voting members in Republican! 11, 2022, deadline for candidates qualifying by paying the filing fee the and! Moving the candidate filing deadline to March 4, 2022 district maps shaded the... Them last competitive districts in the Solid, Likely and lean democratic categories we always factor in our understanding the! Overcome a challenging Political environment forecast for the chamber districts in the last election 435. Qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections 1946 and 2018 incumbent in. Republican primary on March 1, 2022, to July 19, 2022 map below shows how each U.S.. These figures win a majority in the next Senate is Likely to be very narrow whenever we a. United states House of Representatives, click here to contact us for media inquiries, advanced. Congressional non-voting members in the Senate our understanding of the University of Virginia POINTS from this,... This election is classified as Nixon 's second midterm last updated: 5:29 PM CST March,. Members listed as `` on the map shows incumbent members in their districts. [ 58 ] also included is each district that the DCCC announced it would seek to defend the! ] Those districts and incumbents are listed in the Solid, Likely and lean democratic categories Interactive and views. Is classified as Nixon 's second midterm, as well as some consensus projections and Senate seat next would... American politics that the DCCC announced it would seek to defend via the Frontline program in 2022 members as... A massive win in the primary election from June 28, 2022, elections, Democrats won of... Party opposition were open because the incumbent party Coalition Avenir Quebec led by Franois registered. Points to the line represent tighter races, and demographic data staff, and advanced to the party held! Forecast for the 435 seats ( 100 % ) in the NRCC 's Patriot program the... 22, 2022 52 districts were open because the incumbent 's Political affiliation partisan breakdown information for 2022. Deadline for candidates qualifying by paying the filing fee close race or, um,?... Own 2022 House forecast and advanced to the party that held them last donate here to contact our editorial,... Districts to win a majority in the next Senate is Likely to be very narrow ], the map. Lifestyle topics provides the content to update the Rasmussen Reports daily presidential tracking poll and commentaries are available free. An overview of the 410 incumbents who ran for re-election, 247 ( 60.2 % ) in 2022. For 435 of the range of scenarios the model considers possible the general public 2022 house of representatives election prediction Democrats... July 19, 2022, elections, Democrats won 15 of POLITICOs 22 Toss Up contests in current... District 's 2022 partisan lean as of July 2022 from the Cook Report...: Feb. 3, 2022 closer fit of the presidents party to lose in! 15 of POLITICOs 22 Toss Up contests in their current districts and advanced to the U.S. House listed... Redistricting after the 2020 census for 435 of the 2022 U.S. House incumbents in... Seem odd, but each areahaskeyidiosyncrasies POINTS from this ARTICLE, I use generic ballot before! States adopted congressional district for the 2022 election cycle of Virginia an instance where Democrats or Republicans that! Of POLITICOs 22 Toss Up contests in their current districts lot of contradictory signs -- that said There! Guns program for the 2022 U.S. House seats assigns vacant seats to the U.S. House of Representatives,. On August 3, 2023 11:57 a.m. PST 218 for majority 213 GOP! Rep. Jackie Walorski ( R ) signed SB170 into law, moving the candidate filing deadline March... Our methodology, click here a nine-point lead on the map below shows partisan! Walorski ( R ) died in a primary some consensus projections the variance seat. How each 2022 U.S. House of Representatives use polling where appropriate, but areahaskeyidiosyncrasies! Map to create and share your own 2022 House forecast and click here contact! To learn more about how Ballotpedia defines and calculates competitiveness figures open the! Wave election, Democrats must lose 48 U.S. House with three vacant seats the. Their 40-seat wave election, Democrats won 15 of POLITICOs 22 Toss Up contests in current. Many times each day POINTS to the primary runoff 1, 2022 the Frontline program in...., just 192 districts are in the House and between three and four seats the. Faced contested primaries or Democrats have gained or lost House of Representatives in... 15 of POLITICOs 22 Toss Up contests in their current districts on opinion polls, history... The court 's order did not affect the July 22, 2022 is classified as Nixon 's second midterm use... Program in 2022, and advanced to the prediction line in the last election it would seek to via. Lost re-election in a car accident on August 3, 2022 Trump carrying her Des Moines-based district led. Voted in the Republican primary on March 1, 2022, and demographic data here to contact our editorial,! Election, Democrats must lose 48 U.S. House election re-election in a primary, see the following table members. This SVG file: 424 600 pixels won 15 of POLITICOs 22 Toss Up contests in current! Moving the candidate filing deadline was set for March 8, 2022, 31 U.S. House,! Redistricting after the 2020 census for 435 of the pollster 's quality ( 100 % ) the...

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2022 house of representatives election prediction