The question was put to 320 likely Democratic primary voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 5.6 percentage points. Meanwhile, 16% said theyd back Kahele and 15% said they planned to vote for Cayetano. The Associated Press has not yet called the race. Ballots are going to be mailed out in just a few weeks so theres not a lot of time to close this lead if Kai Kahele or Vicky Cayetano is going to do it.. Lazaro Gamio It is with a grateful heart that we express our fondest mahalo nui loa for your vote and support of our campaign!. Editing by Sarah Frostenson. Historically, the selection of Saturday also helped the state find places to hold elections, according to Nedielyn Bueno, a voter service specialist with the Office of Elections. In contrast, Kahele had stronger numbers among the younger group. Runoff Elections. New York's 26th District. All rights reserved. Former Mayor Kirk Caldwell has raised $344,861 and reported $717,678 in cash on hand in the latest fundraising figures. Only 2% of voters did not recognize Greens name, the lowest of all of the gubernatorial candidates. Josh Green and Vicky Cayetano, a former first lady of the state, are among the seven Democrats vying to succeed Gov. Only one, State Representative Bob McDermott of Oahu, has held elected office before. It included 800 registered Hawaii voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. Alicia Parlapiano Heres what the vote count could look like this year. The overwhelming support in the Hawaii Poll comes six months ahead of the primary election, when voters will have their first official say on which candidate should succeed Gov. Voters in Kentucky narrowly rejected an amendment to the State Constitution that would have said there is no right to abortion in their state. Tonight, our election forecast will show live estimates for which party is favored to win control in the Senate and House. But so far, voters are rejecting an effort to deny abortion rights. Mr. Tataii has not filed any campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission, nor had he spent any money on advertisements as of Aug. 11, according to the ad analytics firm AdImpact. Nov. 2, 2022, at 12:30 p.m. Hawaii: What to Expect on Election Night. This number is an estimate and is based on several different factors, including information on the number of votes cast early as well as information provided to our vote reporters on Election Day from county election officials. We use early returns and polling data to estimate in real time the outcome of the elections for Senate and House control. In the January Hawaii Poll, 58% of Democratic voters said they would pick Green if the primary were held at that time. In two states, shifts in state power could lead to new restrictions. Nov. 8, 2022, Rural counties in Virginias 7th district are counting votes more quickly than its most populous and left-leaning county, Prince William. The polls are now closed in Georgia, South Carolina, Virginia and Vermont, and in parts of Florida and New Hampshire. John Fetterman defeated the celebrity TV host Dr. Mehmet Oz, flipping Pennsylvanias Senate seat to the Democrats. Well also be watching competitive House races in N.C.-13 and Ohio-9. Governor Solid Democratic Last updated April 1, 2022, 11:32 a.m. PDT Steve Shepard Chief POLITICO election reporter This race is Solid Democratic, meaning that in all likelihood, a. Nov. 8, 2022, Gov. Greens dominance includes majority support from every county, ethnic group and even 52% overall support from Republicans, according to the poll. RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - Hawaii Governor - Aiona vs. Green Nov. 9, 2022, J.D. Polls are now closed in Hawaii. Mr. Green defeated six other Democrats, including Representative Kai Kahele and Vicky Cayetano, a former first lady of Hawaii. GOP Rep. Mark Amodei looks safe for reelection after surviving his primary. campaign launch", "Ikaika Anderson receives key endorsement, Sylvia Luke has most in race for lieutenant governor", "Hawaii police officers' union endorses former councilman in Lt. Gov. In Virginia, the performances of Democratic incumbents in the 2nd and 7th districts may offer early indications of how the party will fare in House races overall. Andrew Fischer Democratic Rep. Sanford Bishop is still favored for reelection, but GOP Gov. Registered Democratic voters continue to give Lt. Gov. Nov. 9, 2022, While the race for Georgias senate seat remains extremely tight, the Governors race was decided last night. Hawaii has two seats in the U.S. House of Representatives and one of its two Democratic senators, Brian Schatz, is up for re-election. A voter dropped off a ballot in Honolulu in 2020. Ben Cayetanos her husband and did great stuff for the state, and I think she would be great for the state, Shinyame said. Lazaro Gamio Hes shown that in the past., Given the results of the poll, Milner said a gubernatorial win by Caldwell would represent the comeback story of the modern Hawaii era. My opponents have spent years in public office, yet these same issues cost of housing, undermanaged tourism, an economic recovery plan remain even more critical today., When it comes to former Mayor Caldwell and his approval numbers, Moore said, It wouldnt surprise me if he decided not to run. Only seven people have held Senate seats since Hawaii became a state in 1959. Vicky Cayetano said theres time for her to gain support before the first votes are cast. Jurisdiction. Josh Green, Representative Kai Kahele and Vicky Cayetano, a former first lady of Hawaii. In third place is City Councilwoman Heidi Tsuneyoshi at 9%. Enjoy this free story! The state has two Senators, Mr. Schatz and Mazie K. Hirono. North Carolina's 1st District. To learn more about how election results work, read this article. , Katie Hobbs, an election official who stood up to allies of Donald Trump, beat his Republican pick for Arizonas governor, Kari Lake. Maggie Astor Senator from Virginia Tim Kaine. He represented his Hawaii island district in the state Senate before being elected lieutenant governor for Iges second term. That was nearly three times Mr. Iges 22 percent approval rating, as voters seemed to credit Mr. Green the public face of the states pandemic response rather than the governor for the improving situation. The overall headline here is he (Green) does really well with everybody and even with Republicans, said political analyst Neal Milner. . Duke Aiona has 27% of the vote while MMA champion BJ Penn is at 24%. Christine Zhang Beyond guns and abortion, Ms. Tokuda who spent 12 years in the Hawaii Senate and rose to become the chairwoman of the Ways and Means Committee, before stepping down in 2018 to run unsuccessfully for lieutenant governor has called for suspending the federal gas tax, expanding the earned-income tax credit and extending the more generous child tax credit that Congress recently allowed to expire. Josh Green continues to enjoy a commanding lead in the Democratic race for governor. Nate Cohn While 79% of Democrats say they approve of Greens overall performance, so do 52% of Republicans and 57% of independent poll participants. [50] Because none of the nonpartisan candidates for governor or lieutenant governor met that threshold, no nonpartisan candidates for governor or lieutenant governor advanced to the general election. Its hard to imagine how his numbers would dip to put him in danger., >> RELATED: Undecided votes critical in tight race for lieutenant governor, >> RELATED: Hawaii Poll reveals isle voters attitudes toward Ige, Blangiardi. Mr. Green, who became very popular among Hawaii residents as the states Covid liaison, has emphasized Hawaiis low infection rate compared with most other states. 500 Ala Moana Blvd. As any entrepreneur knows, it takes a lot of time and energy to start a new venture, whether it is a business or a campaign. By The Associated Press. #7-500
David Ige, who cannot run for re-election because of term limits. #7-500
She will be one of the nations first openly lesbian governors. At the same time, the percentage of Democratic voters who do not recognize Greens name fell from 7% in January to 2% in July. votes. John Fetterman has been locked in a bitter contest against Mehmet Oz, the Republican celebrity doctor. Democratic Rep. Ami Bera is still a heavy favorite, but his party appears set to lose ground in California. View Hawaii's election results and maps for the 2022 midterm elections. In a statement to the Honolulu Star-Advertiser, Greens campaign said, Green is viewed as consistent and credible, winning high job approval and favorability ratings from voters who view him as the leader of the largest public health initiative in state history. The Hawaii Polls separate survey of only Democratics who are likely to vote in the primary suggests there is ground to be gained for Cayetano and Caldwell. A 65% approval rating is pretty remarkable for someone whos been in office for a while and was the face of COVID. Last edited on 17 February 2023, at 23:45, 2022 United States gubernatorial elections, Speaker of the Hawaii House of Representatives, running for Hawaii's 1st congressional district, State of Hawaii Organization of Police Officers, "Hawaii Governor: Josh Green Easily Defeats Duke Aiona", "Believe it or not, race to replace Gov. But Ms. Tokuda, who is backed by the Congressional Progressive Caucus, leads in polling. Nov. 9, 2022, Maryland and Missouri voted to legalize recreational marijuana for people 21 and older, while voters in Arkansas, North Dakota and South Dakota rejected similar measures. U.S. Senate In the U.S. Senate race, incumbent Brian Schatz won the Democratic primary with 94 percent of the vote. Read more about the methodology. Read more Beto ORourke performed better than expected in these majority-Hispanic counties. Here are the main races well be watching. Ron DeSantis won re-election in Florida, cementing Republicans power in a state that was once a key battleground. Democrats overwhelmingly approve (83%), as do independents (68%), but Republicans (47%) are not as enthusiastic. Read more. The last time a Republican presidential candidate carried the state was 1984. Mazie Hirono and Brian Schatz on their campaigns. Maggie Astor Lazaro Gamio Republican Kevin Kiley is an odds-on favorite to win this new open seat. The Associated Press also provides estimates for the share of votes reported, which are shown for races for which The Times does not publish its own estimates. 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. (D) Josh Green. Among them: Pennsylvania, Michigan and Texas. Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan, a Democrat, won a tough re-election race against her Republican rival, Tudor Dixon. Aside from that, the main action at this hour will be in the House, with a close race in Washingtons 8th District and at least half a dozen in California. Next. Lazaro Gamio Senator Brian Schatz is seeking a third term in Hawaii. Heres how it works The Hawaii Poll was conducted Jan. 24 to 28 by telephone by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy of Washington, D.C. Governor", "Chamber of Commerce Hawaii leader Sherry Menor-McNamara running for lieutenant governor", "Former State Senator Jill Tokuda seeking to be Hawaii's next lieutenant governor", "Former state Sen. Jill Tokuda files to challenge Kai Kahele for congressional seat", "Mounting speculation about a Kahele run for governor triggers 'grand chess game', "Chad Blair: Here's How Hawaii's Top 2022 Political Races Are Shaking Out", "Race expanding for Hawaii's next lieutenant governor", "Lee Cataluna: Candidates for LG May Find the Game Has Changed", "Former City Council chair criticized by constituent at Lt. Gov. This race is Solid Democratic, meaning that in all Senator Raphael Warnock of Georgia is one of the most vulnerable Democrats in the Senate. In the counties where most of the vote is in, Senator Ron Johnson is running ahead of Trump. Nov. 8, 2022. Polls just closed in 19 states and Washington, D.C. The rule that primary elections would be held on Saturdays was first written into state law in 1970. Alicia Parlapiano The race for North Carolinas open Senate seat is leaning toward Representative Ted Budd, a Republican, according to our estimates. As vaccines were becoming widely available in the spring of 2021, a poll conducted by two Hawaii news organizations, Honolulu Civil Beat and Hawaii News Now, found that Mr. Green had a 63 percent approval rating. His approval ratings went up, in most cases, when poll participants were asked about his handling of COVID-19. One of Mr. Greens campaign ads this year highlighted the fact that Hawaiis Covid infection rates have been among the lowest in the country, though they have still been devastating, particularly in Native Hawaiian communities. Today's Paper. Jen Kiggans, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent Virginias Second Congressional District. November 5, 2024. We rated every race in play in 2022. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Caldwell indicated that he remains optimistic about his level of support. If somehow Caldwell could turn that around, especially with rail hanging over him, that would be amazing.. #HIGov #Hileg", "Kauai Mayor Derek Kawakami endorses Kirk Caldwell in governor's race", "U.S. Rep. Kai Kahele gets key union backing, Lt. Gov. Wisconsins Senate race is leaning toward Senator Ron Johnson, his chambers most endangered Republican incumbent, according to our estimates. Only two Republicans have been elected governor, and Linda Lingle was the only one to be re-elected, in 2006. J.D. However the state already bans abortions, and that is unlikely to change. Polls have closed in Hawaii, where statewide primary contests for the governor's office, a Senate seat and a House seat were on the ballot, as well as other races. Nov. 9, 2022, More than 210 Republicans who questioned the 2020 election have won seats in the U.S. House and Senate and in state races for governor, secretary of state and attorney general, according to results as of 12 p.m. Eastern on Wednesday. Lazaro Gamio Activate your Digital Account now. Roughly 1 in 5 of those polled were still unsure who they planned to support. Josh Green, pictured during a news conference on the states testing program for travelers, has been the face of the states COVID-19 response for nearly two years. Heres how they performed when compared with the 2020 presidential candidates. , Brian Kemp, the Republican governor of Georgia, defeated his Democratic challenger, Stacey Abrams, for a second time. These ballots, which in 2020 favored Trump, were not enough to tilt the election in favor of the Republican candidate Kari Lake. Read the full story with our Print & Digital Subscription. There are seven Democratic candidates, the most prominent of whom are Lt. Gov. Hawaii Midterm Election 2022, a state guide to help plan your vote, including key dates, voting info, and Primary results for Republican and Democratic candidates as the countdown to November 8th . Theres still a long way to go before the Aug. 13 primary and even longer to the Nov. 8 general election and anything could happen. , Kathy Hochul, New Yorks first female governor, beat Rep. Lee Zeldin in the states closest race in decades. While Tuesdays election represented a strong performance by a first-term presidents party, the individual showings of Senate candidates varied widely. Nov. 8, 2022, In Kentucky, voters will decide whether to approve a constitutional amendment that would effectively ensure the implementation of a near-total abortion ban. Enjoy this free story! Josh and I have been friends for almost 20 years., Poll participant and progressive Democrat Jennifer Martin, a 50-year-old Makawao tech writer and business consultant, said she prefers Kahele for governor, mostly because Cayetano comes across as too conservative and Josh seems beholden to special interests.. All registered Hawaii voters are sent a mail ballot. Hawaii Elections Forecast 2022: Ratings, Predictions & Key Races. You're reading a premium story. When asked to respond, Winer said, I helped Kai run for Congress. Hawaii has supported Democrats in every presidential election in which it has participated, except 1972 and 1984 , when incumbent Republican candidates won 49-state landslides. These mirages show that vote margins early in the night can change significantly. 83 . fresh out of the oven. Guam and the Virgin Islands two territories that elect nonvoting delegates to Washington have also traditionally held their primary elections on Saturdays. NYT Graphics Arizonas Senate race is a currently tossup, according to our estimates. Of course (former Gov.) Much of their sparring was over who would be a stronger advocate for such measures. That compares with $475,274 for Cayetano, whose contributions included a $350,000 loan she gave to her campaign. Keith Amemiya, a business executive, polls at 10% while Sherry Menor-McNamara, head of the Chamber of Commerce Hawaii, is at 7%. Only 4% of Republican voters do not recognize his name, according to the Hawaii Poll, compared with 12% of Republicans who do not recognize Aionas name. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections . Incumbent lieutenant governor Josh Green was the Democratic nominee, and faced former lieutenant governor Duke Aiona, the Republican nominee. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. Nov. 8, 2022, Nevada is the last big swing state of the day, and virtually everything is up for grabs: The races for Senate, three House seats, governor and secretary of state. Eight counties that voted Yes on the proposal also voted for the Republican candidate for governor, Tudor Dixon. Copyright 2022 Hawaii News Now. So why do most states hold their primary elections on Tuesdays? (Hawaii News Now) Green's support was most pronounced among Hawaii voters 50 and up some 54%. 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